February 6, 2013
North Dakota, Midwestern States Lead U.S. in Hiring
Maine had lowest Job Creation Index score in 2012
by Jeffrey M. Jones
PRINCETON, NJ -- North Dakota led the nation in job creation in 2012,
according to worker self-reports of hiring activity at their places of
employment. Five more states in the Midwest -- South Dakota, Nebraska, Iowa,
Minnesota, and Indiana -- rank among the top states. Maine had the lowest job
creation score, along with Connecticut, Idaho, and New Jersey.
On average in Gallup Daily tracking from January through December 2012, 43%
of North Dakota workers said their company was hiring workers and expanding the
size of its workforce, while 9% said their employer was letting workers go and
reducing the size of its workforce, for a +34 Job Creation Index score. This is
easily the best among the 50 states and the District of Columbia, and is 16
percentage points above the national average of +18. North Dakota has ranked
first four
years in a row.
South Dakota, Nebraska, Iowa, Indiana, Oklahoma, Utah, and the District of
Columbia have also all ranked among the top states in hiring in 2011 and
2012.
Maine is new to the bottom 10 states in 2012, compared with 2011, largely
because its +10 Job Creation Index score was unchanged while most states showed
improvement. Connecticut, Idaho, New Jersey, Oregon, New Mexico, New York, and
California are the seven states that made a repeat appearance among the bottom
10 in 2012.
More generally, Eastern states lagged behind others in job creation in 2012,
while the Midwest clearly enjoys the strongest hiring situation of the four
regions.
These regional patterns in job creation have been evident for several
years.
Most States Showed Better Hiring Situation in 2012
The nation's Job Creation Index improved to +18 in 2012 from +13 in 2011. As
a result, most states showed some improvement last year. Nevada and Rhode Island
showed the greatest improvement, with 10-point increases. Both states had
previously ranked among the worst states for job creation but no longer do.
In contrast, West Virginia -- one of few states that did not show improvement
last year -- fell back into the bottom group of states after ranking near the
top in prior years.
The national Job Creation Index score of 18 is now back where it was in 2008,
prior to the worsening of the U.S. job market after the financial crisis late
that year. In 2009, the national Job Creation Index fell to a low of -1,
indicating that more employees reported their employers were reducing workforce
size than increasing it.
Since 2009, Michigan (up 32 points), Nevada, and Minnesota (up 29 points
each) have shown the most improvement in job creation, and West Virginia the
least (1 point).
Implications
North Dakota continues to show the most positive hiring situation, according
to people who work in that state. The state's job market is bolstered by energy
production, but also technology and agriculture. The jobs boom there is creating
a ripple effect by generating a need for other services, such as construction.
Hiring is also strong in North Dakota's neighboring states, such as South Dakota
and Minnesota. Meanwhile, hiring continues to lag in Eastern states, perhaps due
to the continued struggles of financial services firms.
Still, nearly every state showed improvement in job creation last year, and
every state with the exception of West Virginia has at least a somewhat better
hiring situation than in 2009, when employees reported the bleakest job market
in recent memory.
Gallup's
"State of the States" series reveals state-by-state differences on
political, economic, and wellbeing measures Gallup tracks each day. New stories
based on full-year 2012 data will be released throughout the month of
February.
Gallup.com reports results from these indexes in daily, weekly, and
monthly averages and in Gallup.com stories. Complete trend data are always
available to view and export in the following charts:
Survey
Methods
Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily
tracking Jan. 1-Dec. 31, 2012, with a random sample of 200,225 employed adults,
aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of
Columbia.
For results based on the total sample of employed adults, one can say with
95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is }1 percentage point.
Interviews are conducted with respondents on landline telephones and cellular
phones, with interviews conducted in Spanish for respondents who are primarily
Spanish-speaking. Each sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 50%
cell phone respondents and 50% landline respondents, with additional minimum
quotas by region. Landline telephone numbers are chosen at random among listed
telephone numbers. Cell phones numbers are selected using random digit dial
methods. Landline respondents are chosen at random within each household on the
basis of which member had the most recent birthday.
Samples are weighted to correct for unequal selection probability,
nonresponse, and double coverage of landline and cell users in the two sampling
frames. They are also weighted to match the national demographics of gender,
age, race, Hispanic ethnicity, education, region, population density, and phone
status (cellphone only/landline only/both, cellphone mostly, and having an
unlisted landline number). Demographic weighting targets are based on the March
2012 Current Population Survey figures for the aged 18 and older U.S.
population. Phone status targets are based on the July-December 2011 National
Health Interview Survey. Population density targets are based on the 2010
census. All reported margins of sampling error include the computed design
effects for weighting.
In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in
conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public
opinion polls.
For more details on Gallup's polling methodology, visit www.gallup.com.
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